In much of our work here at Arup, we explore how systems work, and if they don’t work well, how to improve or fix them. We’ve come to realise the central importance of the food system in delivering a sustainable future and as a sector we should apply our thinking to.
In their 2019 report, the Eat-Lancet commission asked a stark question: will we be able to feed a future population of 10 billion people a healthy diet without destroying the planet? As they noted, “food is the single strongest lever to optimize human health and environmental sustainability on Earth. However, food is currently threatening both people and planet.”
The environmental threat on your plate
Scientists and policy makers now recognise that up to a third of global CO2 emissions are food related. If we’re honest, this shouldn’t be surprising. How else does a supermarket half a mile away from me here in London offer fresh mange touts from Kenya? Globalisation has brought us incredible choice all year round, but as a series of productive systems it has evolved unchecked, become resource intensive and unsustainable. Apart from fuelling global warming, food production also accounts for 70% of freshwater withdrawal and is a major factor behind biodiversity loss.
The industry is, of course, aware of these issues. International bodies like the EU are committed to Green New Deal programmes and working on farm-to-fork policies aimed at reforming how farming operates, to reduce waste and make agriculture a key plank in protecting the environment. For producers and processors, the expectation of growing emissions regulation is also a given. So if everyone knows change must follow, the question remains: which systemic improvements are most effective and commercially viable?
More broadly, the very centrality of food production and consumption to all human life actually gifts us an enormous opportunity: by transforming the way we farm, process and distribute our food we can accelerate along the path to a sustainable way of life within the means of our planet. A sustainable food sector will protect the planet’s biodiversity, sequester more CO2 than it emits, lower the risk of flooding, bring rural and urban communities closer together and stimulate a more equitable economy.
So, how can we transform this system we depend on? Let’s see how a systems-thinking approach might tackle common issues in the food sector.
Climate-positive food production
A first step would be to move away from using the soil like dead substrate, with all the harmful effects of pesticides and artificial fertilizers, to a practice known as ‘regenerative farming’. This commits farmers to focusing on soil health, leaving the land improved by the agricultural process year on year.
Companies like Nestlé – the world’s largest single food producer – have started to see the value of this approach, especially given that the vast majority of their greenhouse gas emissions are in the farming process itself. There is a huge prize here, a transformation of farming into a soil-focused system that improves biodiversity, manages the water system more effectively, reduces flooding, lowers pollution and above all sequesters carbon. This is how food could become climate positive.